Theory of Income · Part II: Overlapping Generations · Lesson 10 of 25

Is the OLG Equilibrium Efficient? The Best Symmetric Allocation

Covers Class Note II, pp. 15–18 · About 35 min · Prerequisite: Lesson 9
By the end you can:
  1. define symmetric allocations and derive the best symmetric allocation \((c_y^*,c_o^*) = (1-\beta,\beta)\);
  2. compare it to the CE \((1-\alpha,\alpha)\) for every agent, including the initial old, and classify the three cases;
  3. state and explain the punchline: the CE is Pareto-dominated exactly when \(\bar r<0\), a counterexample to the First Welfare Theorem.
Primary source Alvarez, Class Note II, pp. 15–18. Samuelson's 1958 paper, §§III–IV, is where this "consumption-loan paradox" was first spotted. Shell, "Notes on the Economics of Infinity", JPE (1971), distils why it happens. We'll come back to it in Lesson 12.

1. The question

Lesson 4 proved that every CE with locally non-satiated preferences is Pareto optimal. Log utility is strictly increasing, hence LNS. So the First Welfare Theorem seems to say the autarky equilibrium of Lessons 8–9 is PO. Here we test that claim directly, by searching for a feasible allocation that everybody weakly prefers. To keep the search tractable, we restrict attention to allocations that treat every generation the same way.

2. Symmetric allocations

Definition: symmetric allocation II p.15

An allocation is symmetric if consumption depends only on age, not on the generation. It is described by two numbers \((c_y,c_o)\): $$x^i_i = c_y\ \ (i\ge1),\qquad x^i_{i+1} = c_o\ \ (i\ge0).$$ Note that the initial old also receive \(c_o\). Since \(\bar e_t=1\), feasibility at each date reads \(x^{t-1}_t + x^t_t = c_o + c_y = 1\): one condition, the same at every date.

The CE \((1-\alpha,\alpha)\) is itself a feasible symmetric allocation, since \(1-\alpha+\alpha = 1\). So the set we are searching contains the equilibrium, which is what makes the comparison clean.

3. The best symmetric allocation

"Best" here means best from the point of view of a generation \(i\ge1\), all of whom have the same \(v\) II p.16:

$$\max_{c_y,c_o}\;(1-\beta)\log c_y + \beta\log c_o\quad\text{s.t.}\quad c_y + c_o = 1 .$$
Derivation
  1. Substitute the constraint. Maximize \(f(c_y) = (1-\beta)\log c_y + \beta\log(1-c_y)\) over \(c_y\in(0,1)\). \(f\) is strictly concave, so the FOC is necessary and sufficient.
  2. FOC. \(\frac{1-\beta}{c_y} = \frac{\beta}{c_o}\), i.e. \(\frac{\beta}{1-\beta}\frac{c_y}{c_o} = 1\): the MRS equals the "technological" rate at which feasibility lets you swap youth for old-age goods, which is one-for-one.
  3. Solve with feasibility. \(c_y = \tfrac{1-\beta}{\beta}c_o\) and \(c_y+c_o=1\) give $$\boxed{\;c_y^* = 1-\beta,\qquad c_o^* = \beta.\;}$$
∎
Intuition: the "golden rule" of the endowment economy

Along the symmetric frontier, giving the old one more unit costs the young exactly one unit, because there is one old person per young person and no growth. The best allocation equates the MRS to this biological rate of return of 1. Equivalently, the implied interest rate at \((1-\beta,\beta)\) is \(r = v_1/v_2 - 1 = 0\), the population growth rate. In Lesson 13, with growth, the biological rate becomes \((1+n)(1+g)\).

4. Comparing the CE with the best symmetric allocation

There are two kinds of agent to check II p.17:

CEBest symmetric
Generations \(i\ge1\)\(v(1-\alpha,\alpha)\)\(v(1-\beta,\beta)\)
Initial old \(i=0\)\(\alpha\)\(\beta\)
The three cases II p.18
CaseParameters\(\bar r\)Initial oldConclusion
1\(\beta>\alpha\)\(<0\)prefer bestCE is Pareto-dominated
2\(\beta=\alpha\)\(=0\)indifferentCE = best symmetric
3\(\beta\lt \alpha\)\(>0\)prefer CEnot comparable

Hence: the CE is Pareto-dominated by the best symmetric allocation if and only if \(\bar r<0\). (Recall \(\bar r = \frac{\alpha-\beta}{\beta(1-\alpha)}\).)

Interactive. The symmetric feasibility line \(c_y+c_o=1\), the CE \((1-\alpha,\alpha)\) (orange) and the best symmetric allocation \((1-\beta,\beta)\) (blue), each with the indifference curve of a generation \(i\ge1\). The dashed horizontal line at \(c_o=\alpha\) is the initial old's CE consumption; they gain at any point above it. The thick aqua segment is the set of symmetric allocations that Pareto-dominate the CE: above the dashed line and on or inside the orange indifference curve. Drag the violet point along the line to test any candidate. Try: set \(\beta\lt \alpha\) and the aqua segment vanishes. The initial old and the young pull in opposite directions.

5. Why Case 1 is a genuine Pareto improvement: the chain of transfers

Read the move from CE to best symmetric in Case 1 as a transfer. Each young person hands \(\beta-\alpha>0\) units to the contemporaneous old person:

The chain must never end

If the transfers stopped at some date \(T\), generation \(T-1\) would give when young and receive nothing when old. They would be worse off, so the scheme would no longer be a Pareto improvement. The gain to the initial old is financed by an infinite sequence of future generations, each passing the bill forward. This is possible only because the economy has infinitely many agents and dates. That double infinity is the heart of Lesson 12.

Case 3: why there's no free lunch when \(\bar r>0\)

When \(\bar r>0\), the young would rather borrow against their large old-age endowment. Moving toward \((1-\beta,\beta)\) means transferring from the old to the young. Generations \(i\ge1\) like it (they receive when young, repay when old at rate \(0\lt \bar r\)), but the initial old pay without being repaid. Someone always loses, so the CE is not dominated by any symmetric allocation (Exercise 10.3). In fact it is Pareto optimal among all allocations, as Lesson 12 will show using the finiteness of \(\sum_t p_t\).

6. Check your understanding

1. Why do generations \(i\ge 1\) always weakly prefer the best symmetric allocation to the CE?
  • Because the best allocation gives them strictly more of both goods
  • Because the CE is one of the symmetric allocations being maximized over
  • Because the interest rate is negative in every possible parametrization
  • Because initial old consumption is irrelevant to their own utility level
\((1-\alpha,\alpha)\) satisfies \(c_y+c_o=1\), so it is in the feasible set of the problem whose solution is \((1-\beta,\beta)\). The maximum is at least as good as any feasible point, and strictly better unless they coincide.
2. In Case 3 (\(\beta\lt \alpha\)), why is the CE not Pareto-dominated by the best symmetric allocation?
  • The young prefer their endowment to every other symmetric bundle
  • The best symmetric allocation is infeasible once β falls below α
  • The interest rate is zero, so every allocation gives equal utility
  • The initial old would consume β instead of α, which is strictly less
Generations \(i\ge1\) still strictly prefer \((1-\beta,\beta)\). But the initial old get \(\beta\lt \alpha\), so they are strictly worse off. One agent losing is enough to rule out Pareto dominance.
3. What implicit interest rate does generation \(i\ge1\) earn on the transfer scheme that implements the best symmetric allocation?
  • Zero, since it gives β − α young and gets β − α old
  • The market rate r̄, since the scheme mimics a bond
  • Negative, since it gives more than it later receives
  • Infinite, since only the initial old ever contribute
Each generation pays \(\beta-\alpha\) and receives \(\beta-\alpha\) one period later: gross return 1, so net return 0. In Case 1 the market rate \(\bar r\) is negative, so this beats the market. That's why generations \(i\ge1\) gain.
4. Which feature of the economy makes the Case 1 improvement possible?
  • Log utility, which makes savings increasing in rates
  • A constant aggregate endowment equal to one forever
  • Infinitely many generations, so no one is left holding the bill
  • The initial old caring only about consumption at date one
The transfer chain never ends, so no generation is left paying without being repaid. With a final generation \(T\), backward induction would unravel any such scheme. The double infinity of agents and goods is the key (Lesson 12).

7. Exercises

"Is the OLG equilibrium Pareto optimal?" is one of the most frequently examined questions in this course. It has appeared as a true/false item on Fall 2005, Spring 2023 and Fall 2025 exams, and as the last part of the Fall 2025 final's Diamond question. The grade goes to the reasoning: name the condition you are using.

Exercise 10.1 True or false? Justify in 1–4 lines. Past exams + traps
  1. In an OLG model where agents live \(k\ge2\) periods, with one commodity per period and a finite aggregate endowment, if interest rates are strictly negative in all periods, the competitive equilibrium is NOT efficient. (Past exam: Fall 2025 Midterm 1, Q I.3)
    Show answer

    True. With \(r_t<0\), prices \(p_{t+1}=p_t/(1+r_t)>p_t\) never fall, so the value of the aggregate endowment is infinite and the 1WT proof breaks. An explicit improvement exists: transfer a small \(\varepsilon\) from young to old at every date, starting with the initial old. Each generation values the extra old-age unit at \(1/(1+r_t)>1\) young-age units (Exercise 10.4; Lesson 16 for \(k\) periods). Explain it by the infinite value of the endowment, not by "over-accumulation of capital": this economy has no capital.

  2. Consider an equilibrium in the OLG model. If the value of aggregate consumption at market prices is finite, then the equilibrium allocation is Pareto optimal. (Past exam: Fall 2005 Midterm, Ex. 1 Q4) [20 pts]
    Show answer

    True (with local non-satiation). Suppose a feasible allocation dominates. LNS and optimality give each generation's dominating bundle a weakly higher value, and strictly higher for someone. Because the sums are finite, they can be regrouped by date, which gives \(\sum_tp_t(\hat x^{t-1}_t+\hat x^t_t)>\sum_tp_t\bar e_t\). That contradicts feasibility. Lesson 12 proves this in full.

  3. In an OLG model with strictly positive interest rates in all periods, the competitive equilibrium is Pareto optimal.
    Show answer

    False as stated. (A circulated study guide marks this "always true", but it isn't.) With growth, what matters is \(1+r\) versus \((1+g)(1+n)\) (Lesson 13): a positive but low \(r\) can be inefficient. Even without growth, \(r_t>0\) with \(r_t\to0\) fast enough (e.g. \(r_t\sim 1/t^2\)) keeps \(\sum_tp_t\) infinite. The safe claim is: stationary \(\bar r>0\) with constant aggregate endowment ⇒ PO.

  4. In Case 3 (\(\beta\lt \alpha\)), every generation born at \(t\ge1\) strictly prefers the best symmetric allocation, so the CE is not Pareto optimal.
    Show answer

    False. The first half is true but the conclusion does not follow: the initial old consume \(\beta\lt \alpha\) and lose. In fact the CE is PO, because \(\bar r>0\) makes \(\sum_tp_t\lt \infty\) (Lesson 12). For symmetric allocations, see Exercise 10.3.

  5. In Case 2 (\(\alpha=\beta\), \(\bar r=0\)), the value of the aggregate endowment is infinite, so the CE is not Pareto optimal.
    Show answer

    False. A finite value is sufficient for PO, not necessary. In Case 2 the CE equals the best symmetric allocation, which is PO among all allocations (Exercise 10.6).

  6. In the two-period OLG economy of the Spring 2023 midterm (heterogeneous types, preferences with satiation points), suppose \(\pi_o\lt \pi_y\), \(\bar\alpha_y=\bar\alpha_o\) and \(\bar\theta_y=\bar\theta_o\). Then the interest rate is positive and the allocation is Pareto optimal. (Past exam: Spring 2023 Midterm 1, Q2.5)
    Show answer

    True. From Exercise 10.5(d), \(1/(1+r)=\pi_o/\pi_y<1\), so \(r>0\), constant. With a constant aggregate endowment, \(\sum_tp_t\bar e_t\lt \infty\), so the OLG version of the 1WT applies.

  7. If the risk-free interest rate is below the growth rate of the economy, the OLG equilibrium is dynamically inefficient. (cf. Problem set 3 (2022), P4)
    Show answer

    False. In a stochastic economy the relevant test is whether the value of aggregate consumption is finite, i.e. the return on a claim to aggregate output versus growth. In the problem set's tree economy the safe rate can be below growth, yet the tree's expected return exceeds growth and the equilibrium is PO.

  8. In Case 1, a one-time transfer of \(\varepsilon\) from generation 1 to generation 0 at date 1 is a Pareto improvement.
    Show answer

    False. Generation 1 pays when young and gets nothing back. The same is true of any scheme that stops at a finite date: the last payer loses. Every improvement over the Case-1 CE must transfer from young to old at every date, forever.

Exercise 10.2 Exam-inspired Beyond log utility

Let \(v\) be strictly increasing, strictly quasi-concave and differentiable, with stationary endowments \((1-\alpha,\alpha)\).

  1. [10 pts] Characterize the best symmetric allocation.
  2. [15 pts] Show that the CE is Pareto-dominated by a symmetric allocation whenever \(v_2/v_1>1\) at the endowment, i.e. whenever \(\bar r<0\).
  3. [15 pts] Is \(\bar r<0\) also necessary for some symmetric allocation to dominate the CE?
Show solution

(a) \(\max v(c_y,1-c_y)\): the FOC is \(v_1 = v_2\), so the MRS is 1 and the implied rate is \(r=0\).

(b) Move along the line: \(c_o = \alpha+\tau\), \(c_y = 1-\alpha-\tau\). Then \(\frac{d}{d\tau}v = v_2-v_1 = v_1\big(\tfrac{1}{1+\bar r}-1\big) > 0\) at \(\tau=0\) iff \(\bar r<0\). So a small \(\tau>0\) raises the utility of every generation \(i\ge1\) and the initial old's consumption: a Pareto improvement.

(c) Yes. If \(\bar r\ge0\), the initial old need \(\tau\ge0\). Along the line, \(v\) is quasi-concave in \(\tau\) with \(dv/d\tau\le0\) at \(\tau=0\), so it is non-increasing for \(\tau\ge0\). Then no generation \(i\ge1\) gains, and in Case 2 nobody gains strictly.

Exercise 10.3 Proof Case 3

Show that in Case 3 (\(\beta\lt \alpha\)) no feasible symmetric allocation Pareto-dominates the CE.

Show solution

Let \((c_y,c_o)\) be feasible (\(c_y+c_o\le1\)) and weakly preferred by everyone. The initial old need \(c_o\ge\alpha\), so \(c_y\le1-\alpha\). Since \(v\) is increasing, it suffices to check \(c_o = 1-c_y\). The function \(f(c_y) = v(c_y,1-c_y)\) is strictly concave with its maximum at \(1-\beta > 1-\alpha\), so it is strictly increasing on \((0,1-\alpha]\). Hence \(f(c_y)\le f(1-\alpha)\) for \(c_y\le1-\alpha\), with equality only at the CE. Nobody can be strictly better off.

Exercise 10.4 Past exam: Fall 2025 Midterm 1, Q I.3 extended to a proof

The exam asked only for "true or false". Here you prove the two-period case without stationarity. Generation \(t\) has strictly increasing, strictly concave, twice continuously differentiable utility \(v\) and endowment \((e^t_t,e^t_{t+1})\) lying in a compact set \(E\) bounded away from zero. Suppose the CE interest rates satisfy \(r_t\le\underline r<0\) for all \(t\).

  1. [5 pts] Show that \(\sum_tp_t\bar e_t=\infty\).
  2. [5 pts] Propose the allocation in which every young agent gives \(\varepsilon>0\) to the current old at every date. Show it is feasible for small \(\varepsilon\) and that the initial old strictly gain.
  3. [10 pts] Let \(\Delta_t(\varepsilon)=v(e^t_t-\varepsilon,e^t_{t+1}+\varepsilon)-v(e^t_t,e^t_{t+1})\). Show that \(\Delta_t'(0)=v_1\big(\tfrac1{1+r_t}-1\big)\) and that \(\Delta'_t(0)\ge c\) for some constant \(c>0\) independent of \(t\).
  4. [10 pts] Show that there is \(\bar\varepsilon>0\) such that \(\Delta_t(\varepsilon)>0\) for every \(t\) and every \(\varepsilon\in(0,\bar\varepsilon)\). Conclude.
  5. [5 pts] Why did we need \(r_t\le\underline r<0\) rather than just \(r_t<0\)?
Hint

In the pure-endowment CE each generation consumes its endowment, so \(v_2/v_1\) at \(e^t\) equals \(1/(1+r_t)\). For (c)–(d), continuous functions are bounded on compact sets: bound \(v_1\) below and \(|\Delta''_t|\) above, uniformly in \(t\).

Show solution

(a) \(p_{t+1}/p_t=1/(1+r_t)\ge1/(1+\underline r)>1\), so \(p_t\ge p_1\) for all \(t\). With \(\bar e_t\) bounded away from zero, the series diverges.

(b) At each date the young give \(\varepsilon\) and the old receive \(\varepsilon\), so totals are unchanged. Consumption stays positive for \(\varepsilon\) below the lower bound on endowments. The initial old consume \(e^0_1+\varepsilon>e^0_1\).

(c) \(\Delta_t'(0)=-v_1+v_2=v_1(v_2/v_1-1)=v_1\big(\frac{1}{1+r_t}-1\big)\), using the FOC at the endowment. On \(E\), \(v_1\ge m>0\), and \(\frac1{1+r_t}-1\ge\frac1{1+\underline r}-1>0\). So \(\Delta_t'(0)\ge c\equiv m\big(\frac{1}{1+\underline r}-1\big)>0\).

(d) \(\Delta''_t(\varepsilon)=v_{11}-2v_{12}+v_{22}\), evaluated along the segment. On a compact neighbourhood of \(E\) this is bounded: \(|\Delta''_t|\le K\). By Taylor's theorem, \(\Delta_t(\varepsilon)\ge\varepsilon c-\tfrac12K\varepsilon^2>0\) for \(0\lt \varepsilon\lt \bar\varepsilon\equiv\min\{2c/K,\ \underline e\}\). Every generation \(t\ge1\) strictly gains and so do the initial old, so the CE is not Pareto optimal.

(e) If \(r_t\uparrow0\), the first-order gain \(\Delta'_t(0)\) shrinks to zero along the sequence. Then no single \(\varepsilon\) need work for all generations: a constant transfer may hurt late generations, and you would need a transfer path that adapts. The general criterion (Cass; Balasko–Shell) is more delicate. On an exam, state the uniform bound or assume stationarity.

Exercise 10.5 Past exam: Spring 2023 Midterm 1, Q2 Heterogeneous agents in a two-period OLG model

Periods \(t=1,2,\dots\). Each cohort contains types \(i=1,\dots,I\). Type \(i\) of cohort \(t\) has endowment \(\alpha^i_y\) when young and \(\alpha^i_o\) when old, and preferences $$-\pi_y\frac{(\theta^i_y-x^{i,t}_t)^{1+\sigma}}{1+\sigma}-\pi_o\frac{(\theta^i_o-x^{i,t}_{t+1})^{1+\sigma}}{1+\sigma},\qquad \sigma>0,$$ defined for consumption below the satiation points \(\theta^i\). The initial old of type \(i\) have endowment \(\alpha^i_o\) and utility \(x^{0,i}_1\). Let \(\bar\alpha_y=\sum_i\alpha^i_y\), \(\bar\alpha_o=\sum_i\alpha^i_o\), \(\bar\theta_y=\sum_i\theta^i_y\), \(\bar\theta_o=\sum_i\theta^i_o\).

You may use the result of the exam's previous question (Gorman aggregation, Lesson 25): in a pure-exchange economy with these preferences and aggregate endowment \(\bar e\), interior equilibrium relative prices are $$\frac{p_\ell}{p_k}=\frac{\pi_\ell(\bar\theta_\ell-\bar e_\ell)^\sigma}{\pi_k(\bar\theta_k-\bar e_k)^\sigma},$$ whatever the distribution of endowments.

  1. Is the equilibrium equal to autarky? Yes or no.
  2. Is the total consumption of each cohort when young equal to \(\bar\alpha_y\)? Yes or no.
  3. Is the interest rate constant over time? Yes or no.
  4. Using the aggregation result, solve for \(\frac1{1+r_t}=\frac{p_{t+1}}{p_t}\) as a function of \(\bar\theta_y,\bar\theta_o,\pi_y,\pi_o,\bar\alpha_y,\bar\alpha_o,\sigma\).
  5. Suppose \(\pi_o\lt \pi_y\), \(\bar\alpha_y=\bar\alpha_o\) and \(\bar\theta_y=\bar\theta_o\). Is the interest rate positive or negative? Is the allocation Pareto optimal?
  6. (Added.) Give a condition on the primitives under which \(r<0\). Show that the equilibrium is then not Pareto optimal by constructing an improvement.
Show solution

(a) No. Types differ in MRS at their endowments, so they trade within the cohort.

(b) Yes. There is no aggregate trade across cohorts (Exercise 8.7(b)): the initial old just eat their endowment, and induction pins each cohort's totals.

(c) Yes. Each cohort is the same two-good exchange economy, with goods "young-date" and "old-date" and aggregate endowment \((\bar\alpha_y,\bar\alpha_o)\). So its relative price is the same for every \(t\).

(d) Apply the aggregation formula with \(\ell=o\), \(k=y\) and \(\bar e=(\bar\alpha_y,\bar\alpha_o)\): $$\frac{1}{1+r}=\frac{\pi_o}{\pi_y}\left(\frac{\bar\theta_o-\bar\alpha_o}{\bar\theta_y-\bar\alpha_y}\right)^{\sigma}.$$

(e) The ratio in brackets is 1, so \(1/(1+r)=\pi_o/\pi_y<1\) and \(r>0\). PO: prices fall geometrically and the aggregate endowment is constant, so its value is finite and the OLG 1WT applies.

(f) \(r<0\iff\pi_o(\bar\theta_o-\bar\alpha_o)^\sigma>\pi_y(\bar\theta_y-\bar\alpha_y)^\sigma\): old-age consumption is weighted more heavily, or the cohort is further below its satiation point when old. In an interior equilibrium, every type's MRS equals \(1/(1+r)>1\). Take \(\varepsilon\) from every young agent of every type and give \(\varepsilon\) to every old agent, at every date. The initial old gain \(\varepsilon\), since their utility is linear. Each type of every cohort gains to first order \(u_y\,\varepsilon\,(\tfrac{1}{1+r}-1)>0\), and stationarity makes the second-order terms uniformly small (Exercise 10.4). So the CE is not PO.

Exercise 10.6 Proof (harder) Case 2 is efficient

Show that the best symmetric allocation \((1-\beta,\beta)\) is Pareto optimal among all feasible allocations, not just symmetric ones. In Case 2 this is the CE, even though its value is infinite.

Hint

Write any feasible allocation that doesn't waste goods as \(x^t_t = 1-\beta-\delta_t\) and \(x^{t-1}_t = \beta+\delta_t\), where \(\delta_t\) is the extra amount given to the old at date \(t\). Use \(\log(1+z)\le z\), and \(\log(1-z)\le -z - z^2/2\) for \(z\in[0,1)\), to bound each generation's utility gain.

Show solution

Wasting goods never helps, so impose feasibility with equality and parametrize as in the hint. The initial old need \(\delta_1\ge0\). Generation \(t\)'s utility change is $$\Delta_t = (1-\beta)\log\Big(1-\tfrac{\delta_t}{1-\beta}\Big) + \beta\log\Big(1+\tfrac{\delta_{t+1}}{\beta}\Big).$$ Suppose \(\delta_t\ge0\), which is true for \(t=1\). The two inequalities give $$\Delta_t \;\le\; -\delta_t - \kappa\,\delta_t^2 + \delta_{t+1},\qquad \kappa = \tfrac{1}{2(1-\beta)} > 0 .$$ So \(\Delta_t\ge0\) requires \(\delta_{t+1}\ge\delta_t + \kappa\delta_t^2\ge\delta_t\ge0\). By induction every \(\delta_t\ge0\) and the sequence is non-decreasing. If some \(\delta_k>0\), then \(\delta_{t+1}\ge\delta_t(1+\kappa\delta_k)\) for \(t\ge k\). The sequence grows geometrically and eventually exceeds \(1-\beta\), which is infeasible. Hence all \(\delta_t = 0\). ∎

Remark: "transfers must grow geometrically to keep everyone happy" is the essence of the Balasko–Shell/Cass characterization of OLG efficiency, and it reappears in Lesson 16.

Key takeaways

💬 Stuck or curious? Ask me (your Claude teacher) anything. Try "why can't the First Welfare Theorem proof handle this?" (preview of Lesson 12) or "is the CE PO in Case 3 even against non-symmetric allocations?"
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